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What even is a ‘low-hire, low-fire’ environment?

And why it matters (or may not) in 2026.

2025 was defined by reports of a “low-hire, low-fire” environment: The unemployment rate remained fairly low, at just over 4% in December, yet headlines of constant layoffs seemed to dominate the news cycle, and those who are unemployed are taking longer to find work.

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I'm Augusto de Paula Júlio, creator of Tech Next Portal, Tenis Portal and Curiosidades Online, a hobby tennis player, amateur writer, and digital entrepreneur. Learn more at: https://www.augustojulio.com.